Tuesday, December 8, 2020

Trump's window for election subversion is closing

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https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/08/politics/what-matters-december-7/index.html

Trump's window for election subversion is closing

A version of this story appeared in CNN's What Matters newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here.

(CNN)President Donald Trump's legal team for weeks has worked to delay the certification of Joe Biden's election win in a long-shot effort to create an opening for Trump stay in power.

On Tuesday, that small window for subversion officially closes.
That's because Tuesday is the "safe harbor" deadline under federal law. What that means is that when Congress tallies the electoral votes in January, it must accept electoral results that were certified before the deadline.
Most states have already certified their results. Missouri and Colorado are set to certify on Tuesday, leaving West Virginia and Hawaii -- so none of the battleground states that Trump's team was hoping to hold up will be in play after Tuesday.
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    CNN legal analyst Elie Honig puts it this way: The arrival of the safe harbor date should effectively extinguish any dying embers of hope even for the last few remaining election denialists. And what an utter disaster — legally and otherwise — the Trump team's effort to contest the election in the courts has been.
    Trump's team sees the writing on the wall. There is a sense developing within Trump's legal team and what remains of his campaign staff that their efforts to overturn or delay the results of the election are coming to an end, multiple sources tell CNN.
    But there's still room for drama. It's now up to the Electoral College to make Biden's victory completely official. (More on that in a minute).
    House conservatives want a floor fight. Trump's staunchest defenders on Capitol Hill are urging him not to concede even after the Electoral College vote next week, calling on their party's leader to fight for his unsubstantiated claims of widespread election fraud all the way to the House floor in January.
    Watch for an unceremonious exit. Where Trump decides to spend the final weeks of his presidency has become a matter of internal speculation as aides wonder whether he'll leave the White House for the holidays -- and never return.
    At this stage, there are plans for Trump to remain at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach over Christmas and New Year's, but the guidance offered to staffers ends there, people familiar with the plans said.

    : Stimulus snapshot

    This is the week that things either finally come together or fall apart for good on a coronavirus relief package.
    CNN's Lauren Fox and Manu Raju have a rundown of where negotiations stand right now on the major sticking points:
    State and local funding: Lawmakers are very close on this issue. They're eyeing $160 billion for state and local funding that would be based on two factors.
    The first would be based in part on population.
    The second would be based on states and localities demonstrating a loss in revenue.
    Liability insurance: Republicans have been back-channeling potential proposals with GOP leadership, but there still isn't an agreement. It's the issue that is proving the most difficult to solve.
    Still not part of the proposal: Stimulus checks.
    Aides familiar with the negotiations tell CNN that despite the progressive push Friday for $1,200 stimulus checks to be included in the bipartisan framework, they still aren't going to be included.

    : But first, Congress needs to buy time

    The House and Senate will vote this week to keep the government open until December 18, giving negotiators an extra week to strike a deal on a massive government spending package and pandemic relief.
    Unless it passes additional legislation, the federal government will run out of money on December 11 and a number of measures addressing the economic crisis will expire at the end of the month. The House will vote on Wednesday.

    : Electoral College takes center stage

    With election results certified, electors and lawmakers follow an archaic timeline set out the Constitution and US law to make Biden president.
    Just as then-Vice President Biden oversaw the counting of electoral votes that gave Trump the White House in 2017, now it will be Vice President Mike Pence, Trump's loyal soldier these last four years, who will announce the vote tally that officially makes Biden the winner. Read more about that here.
    And Republicans will have to choose how deeply they want to follow Trump into his rabbit hole of conspiracy theories.
      Lawmakers will have the ability to raise objections about the vote -- just like some Democrats did in 2017. But while those objections were dismissed easily in 2017, Republican senators could, if they choose, drag the process out this year, and force the House and Senate to vote on individual points.
      The full timeline is below:

      What happens after Election Day

      We've sketched out the legal mechanisms that lead from Election Day to Inauguration Day. Next to each item below is an icon that denotes whether state laws () or federal laws () are relevant.


      November 3 – Election Day

      Voters voted.

      While many millions of Americans cast their ballots in the weeks leading up to Election Day, either by mail or as an in-person absentee voter, US law says Election Day occurs on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Votes were counted across the country on Election Day.

      November 4 – November 23

      Votes were counted.

      Mail-in ballots had to be postmarked by November 3 in every US state, but they could be received later and still be counted in many states.

      November 10 – December 11

      States certify election results.

      Each state does it a little bit differently, but starting a week after Election Day, state governments began to certify their election results. Georgia certified its results three times, following a full audit and a recount requested by President Donald Trump's campaign.

      December 8

      "Safe harbor" to determine election results and assign electors.

      Under the Electoral Count Act, this is the date by which states are meant to have counted votes, settled disputes, and determined the winner of their Electoral College votes. Governors are supposed to create certificates of ascertainment listing the winner of the election and the slate of electors, and those results are shielded from further challenge.

      December 14

      Electoral votes cast.

      In law, this date is the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December. This year that falls on December 14. Electors will meet in their respective states and cast paper ballots for US President. The results are then tabulated, signed, sealed and sent by registered mail to the vice president in Washington. Many states have laws requiring their electors to support the winner of their state's election.

      December 23

      Electoral votes must arrive in Washington.

      The certified electoral votes have nine days to get from their states to Capitol Hill.

      January 3

      New Congress is sworn in.

      Members of the House and new members of the Senate take the oath of office at noon. This is the official start of the 117th Congress. However, Georgia's two Senate seats will remain unfilled until after a runoff election scheduled for January 5.

      January 6

      Electoral votes counted in Congress.

      Members of the House and the Senate will meet in the House chamber. The President of the Senate -- that's Vice President Mike Pence -- will preside over the session and the electoral votes will be read and counted in alphabetical order by two appointees each from the House and Senate. They will then give their tallies to Pence, who will announce the results and listen for objections.

      If there are objections, the House and Senate consider them separately to decide how to count those votes.

      There are 538 electoral votes -- one for each congressman and senator plus three for Washington, DC. If no candidate gets to a majority -- that's 270 -- then the 435 members of the House decide the election. Each state gets a vote. So while there are more Democrats in the House, Republicans, as of now, control more state delegations, so it is possible the House could pick Donald Trump even though there is a Democratic majority.

      The House has until noon on January 20 to pick the President. If they can't, it would be the vice president or the next person eligible in the line of presidential succession.

      January 20

      Inauguration Day.

      A new president takes the oath of office at noon. If the President-elect dies between Election Day and Inauguration, the vice president-elect takes the oath of office and becomes President. In a disputed election, if the House has not chosen a President but the Senate has chosen a vice president, the vice president-elect becomes acting president until the House makes a choice. And if there's no president-elect and no vice president-elect, the House appoints a president until one is chosen.

       

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